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Arbil, November 22 (Rn) - A study by the Harvard Kennedy recently that Iraq sits on top of the third-largest oil reserves in the world, while producing less than 4 percent of the world's oil, noting that Iraq has a great opportunity to increase its production of energy, as it seeks to increase the production of 10 million barrels of oil per day by the year 2017. But the ambitious agenda for this country faces many challenges as suffering from a dilapidated infrastructure, and the scarcity of trained professionals, and security and political environment is stable.
To that shows a professor at the Kennedy School Meghan O'Sullivan, who served in the White House and the Deputy National Security Advisor for Iraq and Afghanistan from 2004 to 2007. "Because of these factors, the operational and logistics play a big role in whether Iraq will be able to reach the potential energy, the political factors will be equally important, "For this reason, the paper focuses its work on the political issues that have received relatively little attention so far is" essential to the smooth development of power in Iraq. "
The study points out that Iraq already gets 90 percent of its revenue from the energy sector, and recover from the recent war depends to a large extent on the successful exploitation of the wealth of the country, which under the ground. There is a need for significant investment in public works, health, and education.
Wrote O'Sullivan, Director of the Geopolitics of Energy Project at the Kennedy School, "The failure of production across the social and economic dimensions will put the political system's fragile Iraq is under pressure," On the contrary, the increase in revenues from oil and natural gas to help Iraq to support the young democracy, and rebuild its military, and re-influence in the region.
"Iraq has promised that a translation in the field of energy a reality," says O'Sullivan, is not in the interest of Iraq, but also the entire international community. There is a global financial recovery will lead to increased demand for oil, and if there can be no demand at current prices, it will be driven by high prices. There has been an energy crisis of this kind in 2008, when oil prices hit $ 147 a barrel. And Iraq had a large reserve of oil can be offered on the Internet and relatively quickly, from a technological standpoint, simply. Many of the Energy Outlook already rely on the availability of large quantities of Iraqi oil in global markets. And the failure of Iraq in the implementation of plans to expand production, at least in part, it will contribute to another crisis, where the contraction of the energy in the global economy.
But a number of political problems must be overcome before Iraq is able to make any serious progress towards achieving the objectives of energy. Political stability is critical to the energy agenda in the country, while it can achieve this agenda, and almost paradoxically, help to enhance this stability. A major obstacle is the difference between the central government in Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government, as well as provincial governments in all parts of Iraq. Simply put, in different parts of this country did not agree on how to develop and share resources.
The study shows, for example, the Kurdistan region, dozens of contracts granting licenses to international companies to develop oil and gas fields within its borders. The Baghdad government announced that those contracts are illegal and will not (until recently) to allow newly produced oil to flow in pipelines in Iraq. He left Kurdistan, landlocked, with oil, which can not export. The impasse eased last spring a bit, when Baghdad was the need of the oil revenues to finance the budget in 2011, allowing for the use of Kurdish pipelines. But there are still question the legitimacy of the Kurdistan contracts pending. And increases the complexity of the situation is the fact that Iraq is made up of smaller provinces, also want to know how they can develop their resources.
At the same time, the future role of the United States in Iraq remains unknown Convention signed in 2008 between the two countries, which allowed the presence of U.S. forces in Iraq expires at the end of 2011. While President Barack Obama has said he will not renew this Agreement and the expansion of a strategic framework agreement, and provide the basis for bilateral non-military relationship between the two countries.
And concluded O'Sullivan to say it was "our interest in maintaining the partnership with Iraq, especially since many of our partnerships traditional in the region led to an abrupt end during the unrest that occurred in the" Arab spring, "adding that" the idea that the United States want to access commercially to Iraqi oil is overly simplistic, if not misleading, pointing to the attention of strategic importance Akbar, "the existence of a stable Iraq could bring more oil to the global market and benefit the Iraqi people and the world as a whole."
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To that shows a professor at the Kennedy School Meghan O'Sullivan, who served in the White House and the Deputy National Security Advisor for Iraq and Afghanistan from 2004 to 2007. "Because of these factors, the operational and logistics play a big role in whether Iraq will be able to reach the potential energy, the political factors will be equally important, "For this reason, the paper focuses its work on the political issues that have received relatively little attention so far is" essential to the smooth development of power in Iraq. "
The study points out that Iraq already gets 90 percent of its revenue from the energy sector, and recover from the recent war depends to a large extent on the successful exploitation of the wealth of the country, which under the ground. There is a need for significant investment in public works, health, and education.
Wrote O'Sullivan, Director of the Geopolitics of Energy Project at the Kennedy School, "The failure of production across the social and economic dimensions will put the political system's fragile Iraq is under pressure," On the contrary, the increase in revenues from oil and natural gas to help Iraq to support the young democracy, and rebuild its military, and re-influence in the region.
"Iraq has promised that a translation in the field of energy a reality," says O'Sullivan, is not in the interest of Iraq, but also the entire international community. There is a global financial recovery will lead to increased demand for oil, and if there can be no demand at current prices, it will be driven by high prices. There has been an energy crisis of this kind in 2008, when oil prices hit $ 147 a barrel. And Iraq had a large reserve of oil can be offered on the Internet and relatively quickly, from a technological standpoint, simply. Many of the Energy Outlook already rely on the availability of large quantities of Iraqi oil in global markets. And the failure of Iraq in the implementation of plans to expand production, at least in part, it will contribute to another crisis, where the contraction of the energy in the global economy.
But a number of political problems must be overcome before Iraq is able to make any serious progress towards achieving the objectives of energy. Political stability is critical to the energy agenda in the country, while it can achieve this agenda, and almost paradoxically, help to enhance this stability. A major obstacle is the difference between the central government in Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government, as well as provincial governments in all parts of Iraq. Simply put, in different parts of this country did not agree on how to develop and share resources.
The study shows, for example, the Kurdistan region, dozens of contracts granting licenses to international companies to develop oil and gas fields within its borders. The Baghdad government announced that those contracts are illegal and will not (until recently) to allow newly produced oil to flow in pipelines in Iraq. He left Kurdistan, landlocked, with oil, which can not export. The impasse eased last spring a bit, when Baghdad was the need of the oil revenues to finance the budget in 2011, allowing for the use of Kurdish pipelines. But there are still question the legitimacy of the Kurdistan contracts pending. And increases the complexity of the situation is the fact that Iraq is made up of smaller provinces, also want to know how they can develop their resources.
At the same time, the future role of the United States in Iraq remains unknown Convention signed in 2008 between the two countries, which allowed the presence of U.S. forces in Iraq expires at the end of 2011. While President Barack Obama has said he will not renew this Agreement and the expansion of a strategic framework agreement, and provide the basis for bilateral non-military relationship between the two countries.
And concluded O'Sullivan to say it was "our interest in maintaining the partnership with Iraq, especially since many of our partnerships traditional in the region led to an abrupt end during the unrest that occurred in the" Arab spring, "adding that" the idea that the United States want to access commercially to Iraqi oil is overly simplistic, if not misleading, pointing to the attention of strategic importance Akbar, "the existence of a stable Iraq could bring more oil to the global market and benefit the Iraqi people and the world as a whole."
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