Home
Will you be the victim of Baghdad, Saudi-Iranian conflict?
On: Tue 03/01/2012 8:33
□ translation of the long
departed Iraq, the United States last month is very different from Iraq, which was overrun in 2003. I went simply "war on terror" and the building of democracy. Geopolitical context, which left America for Iraq can be determined now five serious challenges.
First, Iraq is located in the center of the confrontation the U.S. - Iran, and that he was the only place where he faced a U.S. military-backed militias from Iran directly.
Second, Iraq stands in the middle of the conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia for regional supremacy. Saudi rulers are opposed to the current Iranian government, but not necessarily the Iranian regime itself, perhaps they can coexist peacefully with the leadership of Iran's different, as they did during the nineties (1990).
Third, Turkey's bid to re-install itself in the Middle East in order to confront Iran on the one hand and promote its image as a modern Islamic the other hand, Iraq is located in the middle as well.
Turkey is a sponsor of the mass of the Iraqi parliament, and the largest source of investment in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, and it is meddling in the affairs of the Kurdistan region in order to monitor the Kurdish separatist movement based there.
Fourth, Iraqi Kurdistan is booming and is likely heading to a form of independence, and the biggest evidence of that is that Iraqi Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi took refuge there, away from Baghdad.
the success of the Kurdistan Regional Government in providing security and services - unlike the central government - stimulates the day other provinces on claim provinces of independent, a great challenge to the Iraqi state that was historically centralized state military.
Finally, the current atmosphere in Iraq, predicts an explosion of sectarian, as Iraq had reached the brink of civil war between 2005 and 2007, and today it is possible to return that disaster again.
as the media, especially satellite TV Arabic-speaking, fueling sectarian passions and contribute in creating an atmosphere of crisis and disasters promoted by the clergy ignorant fanatics.
The Middle East today uprising two-sided: the speed of major climate change, and lack of water, and the growth of cities, environmental degradation, lack of equilibrium constant in the economy and resources, population explosion, which coincides with the wars and invasions and foreign interventions, and civil conflict, religious, and popular uprisings.
the lives of Iraqis are based on state based largely on a single resource is oil.
Agriculture has collapsed dramatically and that the water Rivers dry up gradually, and disappeared trade routes that were dependent on the geography of Iraq, Unique, and contracted transportation routes, and the trade is just a recycling of wealth owned by the state.
the Arab countries that followed the Ottoman Empire proved as all of us were not stable and prone to violence and target interventions and external control.
If what is left of Iraq without control will remain depends on the disturbances experienced by the now hostage to oil prices.
This is the legacy of Iraq, but it is not justified is that this is his fate. On Iraq, said the re-envisioned the Middle East, and that creates economic structures, security and a new political help in bringing the countries of the Middle East to some and at the same time suppress ethnic and religious differences in the region.
in the Cold War the U.S. - Iran, Iraq must resist dragging it to the confrontation, the his interests with both sides and can play an important role in mediating and even extinguish the conflict between them.
In the regional conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran, must stand on Iraq to the side of right and justice by pushing free and fair elections and a pile representative and minority rights and the rule of law in areas such as Bahrain and Syria, Lebanon and Yemen.
Also on Iraq to welcome the return of Turkey to the Middle East, but not empire Ottoman, but as a successful model of the economy moving inherent in a democratic state that respects legacy Islamic.
and Iraq can stop the erosion of the Kurdistan Regional Government to independence through the establishment of national institutions are open and fair culture a civilian. This is the best guarantee of national unity.
Finally, in order to prevent the sectarian war in the Middle East, on Iraq resist letters extremists and push for a comprehensive understanding of Islam that would undermine the ideologies of hatred ugly.
that negative Iraq's leaders and the indifference to these challenges, the basic contradiction with the ferocity of their fight for political power and influence, and contrary to their quest for material profit for themselves and their comrades.
the wise leadership of the art of politics can be out of Iraq this quagmire, the only forces that strike Iraq and the region has led to the disaster.
■ for: New York Times
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
