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Kerry in Cairo save for "Brotherhood" or the Americans? Last Update: Thursday, 07/03/2013
Anthony Georgi
Maybe not raised a visit to a U.S. official of noise in Cairo also raised visit U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry few days past, a visit considered truly revealing many angles and issues that do not matter Egyptian relations - U.S. only, but exceed the U.S. vision for the Middle East in the context of trends the second Obama administration.
What's behind Kerry's visit to Egypt? Asks an observer. .
But the truth behind the visit reflected the man or more precisely, his first tour as a participant in the American foreign policy, or is the weakest of faith, declaring them in Europe and the Middle East.
To be sure, Kerry differs from سابقته Hillary Clinton, the man has the political experience of internal and external, as well as from the rear Visionary strategic as ex-combatants in Vietnam, what he can read the above lines and below and between, into exceed minister in charge of the implementation of tasks no more.
To be sure, talk about a road map of American diplomacy in the era of Kerry is expanding the custom flat, to address the dimensions of his trip to Cairo Almstpkh and ambiguous attitudes among Egyptians on the one hand and the Americans on the other hand.
Draws attention in this visit the beginning that it comes in the wake of dial qualitative conducted by U.S. President Barack Obama with Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi, who considered a reorientation of policy lines Egyptian Interior, as shown by Obama's demand for Mercy to be the president of all Egyptians, and that opens lanes of hope in compatibility for access to complete and the completion of the process of democratic transformation in Egypt. . Is Kerry holds details came to this call any pregnant dictates specific semi Egyptian government and opposition to abide by, and Washington's interests in that?
The answer is in fact an exciting, especially with the sense of the U.S., that the draft Obama administration in support of the Muslim Brotherhood in order to extend the domination of Egypt has failed or on the way to failure, and this was manifested in written magazine "The Weekly Standard" recently that the "game Barack Hussein ended Balkhsran, it was clear from the outset that spinning with the Muslim Brotherhood and other Sunni radicals will not lead to anything is pleased Khater, has helped the current U.S. administration in access to power forces backed by the Arab street, but not never digested Americans ".
How appeared waving to Washington seriousness of the scene in Egypt and Anzhabath strategic interests that prompted Kerry's visit and possibly other later?
In short is in breach known far and wide depth of pragmatism American political, and how she always and never bet on who has the absolute power and faction His political influence more importantly, more useful her interests and let you talk of democracy and human rights, and so on, where the dress American stained spots black in this context.
Perhaps it is no secret that Washington since 2007 almost bet in Egypt either on military forces loyal to the West or on political Islam in the heart of it the Muslim Brotherhood.
However the January 25 revolution and entitlements in the Egyptian street, it became clear that these are the faction "visible and present" on the scene strongly, and been the talk of deals American Brotherhood since that time, that it became clear to the Americans superficial political experience is capable of managing the affairs of the country with tact and political skill.
And hard to fragmentation ideological Pat prevail throughout the political circles Egyptian Further to the partisan divisions and disagreements community and sectarian unrest and all manifested in the scenes are still demonstrations millions and some have swab violence reject the policies of President Mursi and his government and calling for dropping the rule of general guide of the Muslim Brotherhood, all were not to lose my sight analysts and observers of Americans.
However economic conditions worn to Egypt and approaching the brink of bankruptcy economic, become as though political bankruptcy has become quite manageable in the time perspective, especially with the insistence of the Government of Mercy on the parliamentary elections in an atmosphere troubled politically, economically and socially, what portends Ptdhrj ball of flame from the top of the pyramid elitist and authoritarian Egyptian down to the bottom of the Egyptian society up to date state of violence and chaos, that could lead Egypt to the idea of a failed state, you are American fears that idea that prompted Kerry to visit? To what extent the efficacy of his trip?
A few hours before her departure for her as secretary of state her Hillary Clinton warned that "Egypt will lead to collapse of chaos and violence is unbelievably and will hurt the entire region."
Equally and clarity were centers of American Studies powerful such as "Council on Foreign Relations," in New York, in an article for author "Steven Cook" political analyst and expert on the Middle East, suggests that "Egypt is in disarray after the two years since the revolution that toppled Hosni Mubarak and paralyzed the country politically, and protests have become increasingly violent and sectarian tensions are high and the public health system in complete disarray, and the economy on the verge of collapse. "
Is Washington that allows the transformation of Egypt failed to failed state? Absolutely not for reasons long explained, is that the most important in a hurry is that the fall of Egypt means becoming state militias, and, consequently, a hotbed of radical forces is central as the base or other especially in the limbs, as in Sinai or southern Egypt from about Nubia down to the west Egyptian desert, where groups of that class already present on the Libyan territory.
If such a model has been found in Mali, Somalia and Yemen, the international powers estimated to Egypt sites can not allow it, because it will turn the heart of the ancient world to the burning flame has not overcome it Europe and America.
The other thing that the collapse of the Egyptian state means a loss of control of the artery Suez Canal the most important and most dangerous in the history of global navigation modern, and it does not stop only when passing liners and oil tankers on its importance in the context of the movement of the global economy, but extends to its role within the system represented Egypt in Middle East peace, and to secure access U.S. naval forces to the Red Sea and then the Indo-Pacific, in addition to securing flights States in the face of Iranian threats in the Gulf region, this next Help Egypt logistics for U.S. operations in Afghanistan and Iraq, which was of paramount importance in Washington.
The matter was and must be paid Americans pushed to try to restore stability to Egypt, is fear, "Israeli" side of that which is going on in the righteousness of probation, which inevitably will lead to a state of Allatmonana in "Israel", has prompted scene Egyptian simultaneous "Jewish Institute for Security for a national "in Washington, urging the United States to prepare alternative plans to deal with Egypt that" Things were deteriorating rapidly towards more unrest "and alleged Institute that President Obama put all bets political alongside President Mohamed Morsi, who, when will face failure to find the American side himself compelled to quickly search for alternatives to prevent the destabilization of the entire region, what they mean by that?
Before answering the latter has to be considered to account visit Kerry and results, has been a stumbling block before it starts rather than a cornerstone, so that the statements made by the man before his arrival in Cairo on the necessity of post-spectral and Egyptian political parties all in the upcoming parliamentary elections, may aroused a storm of indignation as Kerry considered when several national powers exceeding the limits of the Egyptian national sovereignty lines, and accessory unlawfully in ongoing Egyptian political conflict.
The most sensitive in the scene that all the votes Loud directed cash to Kerry accused the Obama administration first and second of his successor, as closest ally and the adhesive of the Muslim Brotherhood, and the rest of the logos boned filed by Kerry equal rights for Egyptians and the democratic process things formality and slogans American consumer, has reached it fairly violent demonstrations rejecting the visit and considered persona non grata.
Did not provide Kerry's New although a knock on the most important problem experienced by Egypt, the economic conditions and the inevitability of saving Egypt economically, is that in its demand should raise taxes on citizens and reduce energy subsidies, was playing the tendons recent that have to spend on any attempts to settle in Egypt, especially in light of the absence of a U.S. intention to emergency financial assistance, but perhaps the other way around.
What about other alternatives and Washington?
Remain in all cases the military establishment Egyptian is the back gate inevitably to the United States, and perhaps this was already the direction of Washington case reached the situation in Egypt to violence, such as obstructive historic, which is consistent with perhaps Washington's intentions indicated by the magazine "fluorine Policy" American in the number of Finally, the Obama administration plans to crush the Muslim Brotherhood in the upcoming parliamentary elections.
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